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CME Fedwatch Favors Half-Point Cut Ahead of FOMC Meeting

In just 40 days, the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will gather to decide whether the central bank will lower the benchmark interest rate. This pivotal moment occurs two…

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Markets Await Fed Decision: Bitcoin Spikes, Gold Drops, Stocks Wobble

Bitcoin saw its value leap to $61,331 on Tuesday, just a day before members of the U.S. Federal Reserve convene to discuss a potential rate cut for federal funds. While…

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Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction

On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal…

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Polymarket Bets 10% on 2024 US Recession, Analyst Skeptical of Rate Cut’s Impact

The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief…

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Fedwatch Tool and Polymarket Indicate Strong Odds for September Rate Cut

Right now, the market is leaning towards the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate at the Sept. 18, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The CME Fedwatch…

Continue ReadingFedwatch Tool and Polymarket Indicate Strong Odds for September Rate Cut