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Prediction markets tracking the escalating Middle East conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran are humming with activity on Tuesday, as traders funnel more than $230 million into bets…
Senator Chris Murphy has proposed regulating prediction markets after allegations of insider trading by people close to the Trump Administration. According to Bubblemaps, six insiders profited close to $1.2 million…
Nasdaq is seeking SEC approval to list fixed-payout Outcome-Related Options tied to the Nasdaq-100 indexes, a move that could expand binary-style derivatives in U.S. markets under securities oversight. Nasdaq Plans…
While Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour explained that the company did not list markets tied to the death of any personality because it goes against U.S. regulations, users are preparing legal…
Prediction markets are crackling with activity after the United States, in coordination with Israel, carried out major airstrikes against Iran. At present, traders are pricing in a 46% probability that…
Federal regulators are emphasizing oversight expectations for prediction markets, using recent enforcement activity on KalshiEX to signal that event contract trading faces the same insider trading, fraud, and market integrity…
The prediction market platform Kalshi had revealed that it recently banned and fined a former California gubernatorial candidate and a Mrbeast Youtube editor for insider trading. Detection and Surveillance The…
All eyes are fixed on President Trump’s next move after the Supreme Court ruled he lacked authority under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to slap sweeping “emergency”…
Polymarket has acquired Dome in a bid to supercharge its developer ecosystem and tighten its grip on the fast-growing prediction markets sector. Polymarket Aims to Strengthen Tech Stack With Dome…
The paper, which examined several prediction markets on the platform, concluded that Kalshi, as a regulated platform, provided a valid and accurate benchmark for macroeconomic figures, surpassing surveys and forecasts…