World Cup 2026 Could Draw $50 Billion in Bets, a First for Prediction Markets
Macquarie expects the 2026 World Cup to draw more than $50 billion in global wagers, the biggest betting event ever – a major milestone made even more important by this…
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CFTC Says Sports Contracts Involve Gaming but Proposes to Allow Almost All of Them
The CFTC has proposed its first written framework for sports event contracts, formally defining sports markets as “gaming” – then writing definitions under which virtually everything currently traded on Kalshi…
Spain and France Split the Favorite Tag as World Cup Prediction Markets Cross $2B
Prediction market traders across Polymarket and Kalshi have committed more than $2 billion to the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market ahead of Thursday’s opening kickoff, with Spain and France…
CFTC Chairman Selig Backs Prediction Markets With New Case-by-Case Framework
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Wednesday, laying out a structured, contract-by-contract review process for event contracts that may involve terrorism, war,…
FIFA Prediction Partner ADI Predictstreet Opens to US Traders Despite Licensing Questions Ahead of World Cup
ADI Predictstreet, the official prediction market partner of the FIFA World Cup 2026, has opened to U.S. traders through Fanatics Markets days before kickoff – even as questions persist over…
Traders Bet 60% Odds Anthropic’s Claude Mythos Drops Today as Rumors Hit Fever Pitch
Prediction market traders are putting real money on the table that Anthropic will publicly release its most powerful and controversial artificial intelligence (AI) model, Claude Mythos, within the next 24…
Kalshi Taps Sportradar for Official League Data and Integrity Tools in Prediction Markets
Kalshi has signed a multi-year global deal making sports-data company Sportradar its official data and integrity provider, giving the prediction market official league feeds and surveillance tools as it fights…
Warsh Faces His First Test June 17 as Traders Hunt for Hidden Signals in the Fed’s Dot Plot
Traders on multiple prediction markets are pricing near-certainty that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates unchanged at its June 16–17 meeting, even as a new Fed Chair steps into…
$2 Billion and Counting: Polymarket and Kalshi See Record Inflows Ahead of FIFA World Cup Kickoff
The FIFA World Cup, expected to be one of the largest events in sports history, is already seeing huge trading volume in prediction markets as users seek to predict which…
‘Too Many Coincidences’: Polymarket Accuses Kalshi of Corporate Espionage
Polymarket has accused its archrival Kalshi of corporate espionage, alleging in a New York Post report that the federally regulated exchange serially copied its product launches and may be watching…
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