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January Odds Scream ‘No Rate Change’ While Powell Shuts Down New Fed Chair Chatter

After the U.S. Federal Reserve trimmed the benchmark interest rate last week, attention now shifts to the Jan. 28, 2026, meeting, where current odds suggest the central bank is poised…

Continue ReadingJanuary Odds Scream ‘No Rate Change’ While Powell Shuts Down New Fed Chair Chatter

Markets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone’s Bracing for the Aftershock

Odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve trimming the federal funds rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) jumped on Tuesday, signaling that futures traders and prediction markets have all…

Continue ReadingMarkets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone’s Bracing for the Aftershock

Fed Rate Cut Odds Jump to 84% on Thanksgiving as Traders Lean Into December Shift

Odds of a December quarter-point rate cut have marched sharply higher this Thanksgiving, with prediction markets and rate-tracking tools showing traders are almost fully convinced the Federal Reserve will trim…

Continue ReadingFed Rate Cut Odds Jump to 84% on Thanksgiving as Traders Lean Into December Shift

Fed Governor Stephen Miran Calls for ‘Large’ Rate Cuts Amid Rising Jobless Data

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said the U.S. economy needs “large interest rate cuts,” telling Fox Business on Tuesday that rising unemployment signals monetary policy is overly restrictive. Stephen Miran…

Continue ReadingFed Governor Stephen Miran Calls for ‘Large’ Rate Cuts Amid Rising Jobless Data

CME Futures and Betting Markets Align on Fed’s Potential Quarter-Point Cut in December

Prediction markets are stacking their chips on a modest rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, even as policymakers publicly wrestle with conflicting data and internal divisions. Rate-Cut Odds…

Continue ReadingCME Futures and Betting Markets Align on Fed’s Potential Quarter-Point Cut in December