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Fed Rate Cut Odds Jump to 84% on Thanksgiving as Traders Lean Into December Shift

Odds of a December quarter-point rate cut have marched sharply higher this Thanksgiving, with prediction markets and rate-tracking tools showing traders are almost fully convinced the Federal Reserve will trim…

Continue ReadingFed Rate Cut Odds Jump to 84% on Thanksgiving as Traders Lean Into December Shift

Fed Governor Stephen Miran Calls for ‘Large’ Rate Cuts Amid Rising Jobless Data

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said the U.S. economy needs “large interest rate cuts,” telling Fox Business on Tuesday that rising unemployment signals monetary policy is overly restrictive. Stephen Miran…

Continue ReadingFed Governor Stephen Miran Calls for ‘Large’ Rate Cuts Amid Rising Jobless Data

CME Futures and Betting Markets Align on Fed’s Potential Quarter-Point Cut in December

Prediction markets are stacking their chips on a modest rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, even as policymakers publicly wrestle with conflicting data and internal divisions. Rate-Cut Odds…

Continue ReadingCME Futures and Betting Markets Align on Fed’s Potential Quarter-Point Cut in December

Coinshares: Fed’s Trim Lands Softly; Bitcoin Stays Flat and Volatility Tightens

The Federal Reserve finally trimmed rates—and bitcoin basically yawned, according to Coinshares’ Head of Research James Butterfill, who says traders want proof this is a real pivot, not a polite…

Continue ReadingCoinshares: Fed’s Trim Lands Softly; Bitcoin Stays Flat and Volatility Tightens

Markets Brace for Fed Rate Cut as Futures and Prediction Markets Show Near-Certain Trim

According to the CME Fedwatch tool and prediction markets, traders are betting the U.S. Federal Reserve will trim rates tomorrow when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gathers. On top…

Continue ReadingMarkets Brace for Fed Rate Cut as Futures and Prediction Markets Show Near-Certain Trim