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Middle East Conflict Shakes Prediction Markets as Rubio and Newsom Gain in 2028 Election Odds

Prediction markets tracking U.S. politics are heating up as traders wager millions on the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential race, with activity on Polymarket and Kalshi revealing how bettors…

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Report: Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi Eye $20B Valuations as Investor Interest Builds

According to a recent report, the two heavyweight prediction markets, Polymarket and Kalshi, are said to be chatting with prospective backers about fresh fundraising rounds. Current figures place Kalshi’s valuation…

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Legal Storm Hits Kalshi as Traders Claim ‘Death Carveout’ Erased Their Winning Bets

Traders are suing prediction market Kalshi after a controversial contract tied to Iran’s supreme leader sparked a payout dispute, igniting legal questions about how geopolitical event markets resolve outcomes and…

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‘A Scam’: Kalshi Might Face Legal Actions Regarding Iran’s Regime Change Market Resolution

While Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour explained that the company did not list markets tied to the death of any personality because it goes against U.S. regulations, users are preparing legal…

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Did Prediction Market Traders See It Coming? Big Wins and Bigger Losses Follow Iran Strike

Prediction markets are crackling with activity after the United States, in coordination with Israel, carried out major airstrikes against Iran. At present, traders are pricing in a 46% probability that…

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Mrbeast Editor and Former California Gubernatorial Candidate Hit With Multi-Year Kalshi Bans

The prediction market platform Kalshi had revealed that it recently banned and fined a former California gubernatorial candidate and a Mrbeast Youtube editor for insider trading. Detection and Surveillance The…

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Prediction Markets Light up After Supreme Court Blocks Trump Tariffs

All eyes are fixed on President Trump’s next move after the Supreme Court ruled he lacked authority under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to slap sweeping “emergency”…

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Federal Reserve Paper Reinforces Kalshi’s Value as Accurate Macroeconomic Prediction Tool

The paper, which examined several prediction markets on the platform, concluded that Kalshi, as a regulated platform, provided a valid and accurate benchmark for macroeconomic figures, surpassing surveys and forecasts…

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Nearly 25% of Draftkings Sportsbook Revenue Contested by Prediction Platforms

Recent data indicates that nearly a quarter of Draftkings’ sportsbook revenue is now being challenged by the rapid rise of federally regulated prediction market platforms. Sports Prediction Platforms Capture Growing…

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