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Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates at 3.75% as Traders Price 99% Odds for April 29 FOMC

Prediction markets and CME futures traders have converged on one outcome ahead of the April 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting: the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady, and…

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‘We Will See You in Court’: CFTC Defends Jurisdiction in Massachusetts Kalshi Case

CFTC escalates prediction market fight as state challenges intensify across the U.S. The Kalshi case in Massachusetts heightens tensions, with regulators warning states they will see them in court. Key…

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38 Attorneys General Back Massachusetts Lawsuit Against Kalshi Over Prediction Markets

State gambling enforcement against Kalshi is being challenged as 38 attorneys general back Massachusetts’ lawsuit. The case could shape whether states can enforce gambling licensing rules against event contracts. Key…

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New York Fintech, Prediction Market Giant Kalshi Eyes US Market for Crypto Perpetual Derivatives

Kalshi, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regulated exchange known for its prediction markets, is reportedly preparing to launch crypto perpetual futures for the U.S. market. Key Takeaways: Kalshi plans…

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Polymarket Traders Give Bitcoin 31% Chance of Hitting $80,000 This Month

Prediction market traders are putting real money on where bitcoin goes next, and right now, the crowd is split between a short-term bounce and a deeper correction. Key Takeaways: Polymarket…

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Ark Invest Taps Kalshi Data, Says Prediction Markets Could Reshape Future of Investing

The future of investing may hinge more on probability signals that flag market-moving events before traditional data catches up. Ark Invest’s Kalshi collaboration reflects a growing effort to build faster,…

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Robinhood Restricts High-Risk Prediction Contracts Amid Israel Insider Trading Charges, Iran Bet Scrutiny

Robinhood has pulled certain prediction market contracts from its platform over concerns about market manipulation and insider trading, even as the brokerage projects the fast-growing product category could generate $300…

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