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Kris Mitchener: Historical crises shape economic institutions, timely policy responses prevent calamity, and money is a social construct | Macro Musings

Understanding past financial crises can guide effective policy responses and prevent future economic disasters. The post Kris Mitchener: Historical crises shape economic institutions, timely policy responses prevent calamity, and money…

Continue ReadingKris Mitchener: Historical crises shape economic institutions, timely policy responses prevent calamity, and money is a social construct | Macro Musings

Jesús Fernández-Villaverde: Global fertility rates are below replacement levels, low fertility poses challenges to welfare states, and the quality-quantity trade-off explains declining birth rates | Macro Musings

Global fertility decline poses a critical challenge to future economic stability and welfare systems worldwide. The post Jesús Fernández-Villaverde: Global fertility rates are below replacement levels, low fertility poses challenges…

Continue ReadingJesús Fernández-Villaverde: Global fertility rates are below replacement levels, low fertility poses challenges to welfare states, and the quality-quantity trade-off explains declining birth rates | Macro Musings

Veronique de Rugy: Libertarianism isn’t anarchism, Social Security’s intergenerational unfairness demands reform, and the zero-sum mindset threatens globalization | Macro Musings

Libertarianism includes a spectrum of beliefs about the role of the state. Classical liberalism supports a minimal state with accountability and predictability. Social Security's intergenerational transfer system is considered unfair…

Continue ReadingVeronique de Rugy: Libertarianism isn’t anarchism, Social Security’s intergenerational unfairness demands reform, and the zero-sum mindset threatens globalization | Macro Musings

Tyler Muir: Financial crises amplify asset price drops, why recovery dynamics differ from economic activity, and the rise of populism post-crisis | Macro Musings

Financial crises have a more profound impact on asset markets than ordinary recessions. Asset prices drop more during financial crises due to an extra risk premium channel. Asset markets typically…

Continue ReadingTyler Muir: Financial crises amplify asset price drops, why recovery dynamics differ from economic activity, and the rise of populism post-crisis | Macro Musings

Scott Sumner: Nominal GDP is key to understanding macro policy errors | Macro Musings

Nominal GDP is a crucial indicator for understanding macroeconomic policy mistakes. Fiscal policy and supply shocks are often overrated in their impact on nominal GDP growth. The earlier, simpler monetary…

Continue ReadingScott Sumner: Nominal GDP is key to understanding macro policy errors | Macro Musings

Richard Berner: Liquidity fragility threatens financial stability | Macro Musings

The OFR has a unique ability to collect financial data, filling gaps other agencies cannot. Transitioning from LIBOR to SOFR involved integrating various short-term money market rates. Global liquidity is…

Continue ReadingRichard Berner: Liquidity fragility threatens financial stability | Macro Musings

Per Åsberg Sommar: Historical data from the Riksbank is vital for macroeconomic theories, Sweden’s shift to a 2% inflation target, and the impact of larger economies on small open economies | Macro Musings

Historical data from the Riksbank is crucial for testing macroeconomic theories. The Riksbank formally adopted a 2% inflation target in 1995 after allowing the Swedish krona to float. Flexible inflation…

Continue ReadingPer Åsberg Sommar: Historical data from the Riksbank is vital for macroeconomic theories, Sweden’s shift to a 2% inflation target, and the impact of larger economies on small open economies | Macro Musings

Martha Gimbel: Delayed economic policies demand long-term thinking | Macro Musings

Long-term economic policies often have delayed effects that are not visible in short-term analyses. Certain economic policies are implemented for reasons beyond driving economic growth. The lack of comprehensive public…

Continue ReadingMartha Gimbel: Delayed economic policies demand long-term thinking | Macro Musings

Laurence Bristow: The Australian dollar’s significant misalignment with fundamentals, RBA’s flexible inflation targeting between 2% to 3%, and the shift to a demand-driven reserve system | Macro Musings

The Australian dollar is currently trading away from its fundamental value, indicating potential misalignment with economic indicators. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) targets a flexible inflation range of 2%…

Continue ReadingLaurence Bristow: The Australian dollar’s significant misalignment with fundamentals, RBA’s flexible inflation targeting between 2% to 3%, and the shift to a demand-driven reserve system | Macro Musings

Dan Awrey: Legacy banking faces disruption from digital payment demand | Macro Musings

Historical banking practices have created a path dependency that affects modern payment systems. Good money is defined by law and institutions, while good payments are defined by technology and governance…

Continue ReadingDan Awrey: Legacy banking faces disruption from digital payment demand | Macro Musings