Traders Not Convinced About an Upcoming US-Iran Ceasefire, Polymarket Data Shows
The situation in the Middle East is changing daily. The war between Iran, the US, and Israel sees almost daily updates ranging from threats on behalf of the US to…
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Polymarket Partners With Spanish Football League La Liga
Polymarket will become La Liga’s official prediction market partner in the U.S. and Canada, giving it exclusive rights to use the league’s and each club’s intellectual property when displaying soccer…
Lawmaker Demands Polymarket Remove 219 War Bets After Airman Market Controversy
Polymarket removed a live prediction market tied to the rescue status of a missing U.S. airman on April 3, 2026, after Rep. Seth Moulton publicly condemned it as exploitative of…
Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates as Markets Fully Price out 2026 Cuts
Markets have priced out every Federal Reserve rate cut for 2026 as a U.S.-Israel war with Iran sends oil past $110 per barrel and consumer gas prices toward $4 a…
Kalshi and Polymarket Iran Predictions: $200M+ Bet on Conflict Outcomes in 2026
Prediction market traders on Polymarket and Kalshi have placed hundreds of millions of dollars in bets on the outcome of the 2026 Iran War, with U.S. entry into Iran now…
Polymarket Brings TradFi Markets to Prediction Trading With Pyth Integration
Polymarket has integrated Pyth Network as the resolution source for a new category of traditional asset markets on its prediction platform, giving traders a data-backed way to speculate on U.S.…
Prediction Market Showdown: CFTC and DOJ Challenge Illinois State Gambling Authority in Federal Court
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice (DOJ) filed a federal lawsuit against Illinois on April 2, 2026, seeking to permanently block the state from…
Trump Impeachment Odds Rise to 70% on Polymarket Amid Falling Approval and Iran War Concerns
According to polls conducted in the mid-to-late stretch of March 2026, U.S. President Donald Trump’s approval ratings have edged lower, weighed by the Iran conflict and ongoing economic concerns. At…
US Troops in Region Top 50,000 as Polymarket Gives 71% Odds Forces Enter Iran by April 30
The Pentagon is moving tens of thousands of troops into the Middle East and drawing up contingency plans for limited ground raids inside Iran, but no U.S. forces have entered…
California Governor Bars Policymakers From Insider Betting on Prediction Markets
California Gov. Gavin Newsom signed an executive order Friday barring gubernatorial appointees from using insider information to place bets on prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi. California Bans Gubernatorial…
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