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January Odds Scream ‘No Rate Change’ While Powell Shuts Down New Fed Chair Chatter

After the U.S. Federal Reserve trimmed the benchmark interest rate last week, attention now shifts to the Jan. 28, 2026, meeting, where current odds suggest the central bank is poised…

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As US Pressure Against Venezuela Builds, Polymarket Bettors Handicap Maduro’s Exit Timing

Over the past year, tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela have heated up heading into late 2025 under President Trump, marked by U.S. maritime strikes, tanker seizures, and sanctions aimed…

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Markets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone’s Bracing for the Aftershock

Odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve trimming the federal funds rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) jumped on Tuesday, signaling that futures traders and prediction markets have all…

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Trust Wallet Adds Prediction Markets for Real-World Event Trading

Cryptocurrency wallet introduces native prediction markets feature, allowing users to trade on outcomes of global events directly within their existing wallet. Trust Wallet has launched a new Predictions feature, enabling…

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Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi Assign Mixed Odds for Bitcoin’s Path Above $100K in 2025

As of Sunday, Nov. 30, 2025, bitcoin is priced at $91,482, and odds from prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi show traders expecting potential gains but keeping their expectations firmly tethered…

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CME Futures and Betting Markets Align on Fed’s Potential Quarter-Point Cut in December

Prediction markets are stacking their chips on a modest rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, even as policymakers publicly wrestle with conflicting data and internal divisions. Rate-Cut Odds…

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