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Bitcoin Prediction Markets Show $84K Ceiling as Traders Stack Bets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad

Prediction market traders have placed more than $100 million in combined volume across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad on where bitcoin’s price lands in May 2026 and beyond, with crowd odds…

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Massie vs. Gallrein: Prediction Markets Bet $5.5M on the Most Expensive US House Primary Ever

Prediction market traders have placed more than $5.5 million in combined volume on the Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary, with challenger Ed Gallrein holding a narrow edge over seven-term…

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CFTC Drops Swap Reporting Duties for Prediction Market Operators Across the US

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a blanket no-action letter this week, relieving prediction market operators from swap data reporting and recordkeeping obligations tied to fully collateralized event contracts.…

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Will BTC Hit Six Figures? Analyzing Prediction Market Odds on Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and More

The global community of speculators and digital currency enthusiasts is currently pouring millions of dollars into prediction markets to determine if and when bitcoin will clinch the elusive $150,000 price…

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Stefan Muehlbauer Warns DOJ Indictments End ‘Safe Zone’ as US Army Sergeant Case Expands Risk

According to Certik’s Stefan Muehlbauer, the recent indictment of an Army sergeant for using nonpublic information to bet on Polymarket establishes a precedent: misappropriating government or corporate data now carries…

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Prediction Market Leader Polymarket Deploys Chainalysis Security Tools

Polymarket, the prediction marketplace giant, has officially selected blockchain surveillance firm Chainalysis to deploy a first-of-its-kind onchain solution for monitoring market integrity. Key Takeaways: Polymarket selected Chainalysis to deploy a…

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