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US Troops in Region Top 50,000 as Polymarket Gives 71% Odds Forces Enter Iran by April 30

The Pentagon is moving tens of thousands of troops into the Middle East and drawing up contingency plans for limited ground raids inside Iran, but no U.S. forces have entered…

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Kalshi Approved for Margin Trading After Affiliate Kinetic Markets Gets FCM Registration

Kalshi gained regulatory approval to offer margin trading after its affiliate Kinetic Markets LLC was registered as a futures commission merchant with the National Futures Association on March 24, 2026.…

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California Governor Bars Policymakers From Insider Betting on Prediction Markets

California Gov. Gavin Newsom signed an executive order Friday barring gubernatorial appointees from using insider information to place bets on prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi. California Bans Gubernatorial…

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Polymarket Secures $600M From Intercontinental Exchange in Final Funding Tranche

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has completed a new $600 million direct cash investment in Polymarket, fulfilling the final obligations of a structured investment program the NYSE operator announced in October 2025.…

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Enlivex Announces $21M Debt Financing and Prediction Markets Treasury Expansion

Enlivex secures $21 million in debt financing while expanding its decentralized prediction markets treasury and authorizing a $20 million share repurchase. Enlivex Ltd. announced the completion of a $21 million…

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Bitgo, Susquehanna Crypto Open OTC Gateway to Prediction Markets for Institutions

Bitgo and Susquehanna Crypto have teamed up to give institutional clients a new route into prediction markets without forcing them through retail rails or asset liquidation. Bitgo Enables $100K+ Prediction…

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Markets Flip Script as Fed Hike Odds Overtake Cuts for First Time in 2026 Cycle

Markets have sharply repriced Federal Reserve expectations, with near-term rate hike probabilities now edging out cuts for the first time since the easing cycle began. Rate Expectations Shift Sharply as…

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Polymarket Sees Coordinated Buying on Early US-Iran Ceasefire Contracts

A cluster of newly created wallets is placing coordinated bets on an early U.S.-Iran ceasefire, igniting fresh debate over whether these prediction markets are reflecting insight or something more calculated.…

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