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Massie vs. Gallrein: Prediction Markets Bet $5.5M on the Most Expensive US House Primary Ever

Prediction market traders have placed more than $5.5 million in combined volume on the Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary, with challenger Ed Gallrein holding a narrow edge over seven-term…

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CFTC Drops Swap Reporting Duties for Prediction Market Operators Across the US

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a blanket no-action letter this week, relieving prediction market operators from swap data reporting and recordkeeping obligations tied to fully collateralized event contracts.…

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Will BTC Hit Six Figures? Analyzing Prediction Market Odds on Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and More

The global community of speculators and digital currency enthusiasts is currently pouring millions of dollars into prediction markets to determine if and when bitcoin will clinch the elusive $150,000 price…

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Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates at 3.75% as Traders Price 99% Odds for April 29 FOMC

Prediction markets and CME futures traders have converged on one outcome ahead of the April 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting: the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady, and…

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‘We Will See You in Court’: CFTC Defends Jurisdiction in Massachusetts Kalshi Case

CFTC escalates prediction market fight as state challenges intensify across the U.S. The Kalshi case in Massachusetts heightens tensions, with regulators warning states they will see them in court. Key…

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