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France Quietly Overtakes Spain as Two World Cup Prediction Markets Near $3B in Combined Volume

Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi have committed more than $2.8 billion combined to predict the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, with France holding the top spot across both platforms as…

Continue ReadingFrance Quietly Overtakes Spain as Two World Cup Prediction Markets Near $3B in Combined Volume

Kalshi’s Perpetual Futures Top $5.5 Billion in Two Weeks as It Eyes Markets Beyond Crypto

Prediction-market platform Kalshi says its newly launched perpetual futures have generated more than $5.5 billion in trading volume in just two weeks, and the company is already planning to push…

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Kalshi’s IP Geofence Still Lets Nevada Users Buy Banned Contracts as State Seeks $120,000 a Day

Nevada wants Kalshi held in contempt and fined $120,000 a day, arguing the prediction market’s home-grown geofence still lets residents buy the sports and election contracts a court ordered it…

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Traders Bet $16.4M on Bitcoin Staying Below $75K Through June — Here’s the Full Breakdown

Across Polymarket and Kalshi, traders have deployed more than $78 million in bitcoin price prediction bets for 2026, and the collective signal is clear: the crowd is not expecting a…

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Kalshi Traders Price Fable 5 Return at 68% Before July 1 After Historic AI Ban

It’s been reported that Amazon CEO Andy Jassy alerted senior Trump administration officials to security findings from his company’s internal research team, setting off a chain of events that ended…

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CFTC Chairman Selig Backs Prediction Markets With New Case-by-Case Framework

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Wednesday, laying out a structured, contract-by-contract review process for event contracts that may involve terrorism, war,…

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Traders Bet 60% Odds Anthropic’s Claude Mythos Drops Today as Rumors Hit Fever Pitch

Prediction market traders are putting real money on the table that Anthropic will publicly release its most powerful and controversial artificial intelligence (AI) model, Claude Mythos, within the next 24…

Continue ReadingTraders Bet 60% Odds Anthropic’s Claude Mythos Drops Today as Rumors Hit Fever Pitch