Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates as Markets Fully Price out 2026 Cuts
Markets have priced out every Federal Reserve rate cut for 2026 as a U.S.-Israel war with Iran sends oil past $110 per barrel and consumer gas prices toward $4 a…
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Kalshi and Polymarket Iran Predictions: $200M+ Bet on Conflict Outcomes in 2026
Prediction market traders on Polymarket and Kalshi have placed hundreds of millions of dollars in bets on the outcome of the 2026 Iran War, with U.S. entry into Iran now…
Polymarket Brings TradFi Markets to Prediction Trading With Pyth Integration
Polymarket has integrated Pyth Network as the resolution source for a new category of traditional asset markets on its prediction platform, giving traders a data-backed way to speculate on U.S.…
Prediction Market Showdown: CFTC and DOJ Challenge Illinois State Gambling Authority in Federal Court
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice (DOJ) filed a federal lawsuit against Illinois on April 2, 2026, seeking to permanently block the state from…
Trump Impeachment Odds Rise to 70% on Polymarket Amid Falling Approval and Iran War Concerns
According to polls conducted in the mid-to-late stretch of March 2026, U.S. President Donald Trump’s approval ratings have edged lower, weighed by the Iran conflict and ongoing economic concerns. At…
US Troops in Region Top 50,000 as Polymarket Gives 71% Odds Forces Enter Iran by April 30
The Pentagon is moving tens of thousands of troops into the Middle East and drawing up contingency plans for limited ground raids inside Iran, but no U.S. forces have entered…
California Governor Bars Policymakers From Insider Betting on Prediction Markets
California Gov. Gavin Newsom signed an executive order Friday barring gubernatorial appointees from using insider information to place bets on prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi. California Bans Gubernatorial…
Polymarket Secures $600M From Intercontinental Exchange in Final Funding Tranche
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has completed a new $600 million direct cash investment in Polymarket, fulfilling the final obligations of a structured investment program the NYSE operator announced in October 2025.…
Gate Integrates Polymarket in First for Centralized Exchanges
Gate has integrated Polymarket into its app, becoming the first centralized exchange to offer direct access to the prediction market platform. The rollout gives users a new way to trade…
Data: Insider Makes $1M Betting on US and Israeli Strikes Over 2 Years
The United States and, especially Israel, have launched numerous strikes against several nations in the past few years. While these have catastrophic consequences for essentially all parties involved, some, perhaps…