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Judge Who Ruled XRP Not a Security in Ripple Case Hands Kalshi ‘A Major, Major Loss’ in New York

Judge Analisa Torres, best known for the SEC v. Ripple ruling, has denied Kalshi’s bid for a preliminary injunction against New York gaming regulators, finding the state’s gambling laws are…

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Coinbase AI Declares Norway World Cup Winner Before Kickoff as Armstrong Orders Review

Coinbase came under fire after an artificial intelligence (AI)-generated alert told users Norway had beaten Brazil 3-2 in a World Cup knockout match that had not yet been played. A…

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Polymarket Traders Give Bitcoin Just 21% Odds of Hitting $70K in July, Even as ETF Money Returns

Polymarket traders are pricing only a 21% chance that bitcoin hits $70,000 before the end of July, with the coin trading near $61,600. The skepticism persists even as U.S. spot…

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Arkham Intelligence Ranks Polymarket Traders by Skill — Top Forecaster Hits 66.1% Win Rate

Arkham Intelligence rolled out a new skill-based rating system for Polymarket traders on Monday, shifting how the platform measures performance from profit totals to forecasting accuracy. What Elo Measures The…

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Prediction Market Traders Give Bitcoin 76% Odds of Hitting $50K Before $100K

Prediction market traders are pricing some of the most bearish bitcoin outlooks of 2026, with more than $75 million in combined volume flowing into Polymarket and Kalshi contracts that see…

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Trader Turns FIFA World Cup Bets Into $8.47 Million Profit in a Single Day

A prediction-market trader earned $8.47 million in a single day betting on the FIFA World Cup. The wagers spanned the Sweden-Japan and Ecuador-Germany fixtures. Two Wallets, Multimillion-Dollar Wagers According to…

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